Posted

October 20, 2010 11:08:51 PM

Date

2010-09

Author

Il Houng Lee and Woon Gyu Choi

Affiliation

International Monetary Fund

Title

Monetary Transmission of Global Imbalances in Asian Countries

Summary /
Abstract

The paper explores the linkages between the global and domestic monetary gaps, and estimates the effects of monetary gaps on output growth, inflation, and net saving rates using panel data for 20 Asian countries for 1980-2008. We find a significant pass-through of the global monetary gap to domestic monetary gaps, which in turn affect output growth and inflation, in individual emerging market and developing countries in Asia. Notably, we provide evidence that the global monetary condition is partly responsible for the current account surplus in Asia. We also draw implications for monetary policy coordination for global rebalancing.

Keywords

Asia , Balance of trade , Capital flows , Economic integration , Economic models , Export competitiveness , Globalization , Inflation , Monetary policy , Production growth , Reserves , Savings

URL

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2010/wp10214.pdf

Remarks

Il Houng Lee used to head Article IV IMF Consultation missions to the Philippines. He is now IMF Senior Resident Representative in China.

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