Posted

May 09, 2013 11:14:26 PM

Date

2013-05

Author

Michael U. Krause and Stéphane Moyen

Affiliation

Deutsche Bundesbank

Title

Public debt and changing inflation targets

Summary /
Abstract

What are the effects of a higher central bank inflation target on the burden of real public debt? Several recent proposals have suggested that even a moderate increase in the inflation target can have a pronounced effect on real public debt. We consider this question in a New Keynesian model with a maturity structure of public debt and an imperfectly observed inflation target. We find that moderate changes in the inflation target only have significant effects on real public debt if they are essentially
permanent. Moreover, the additional benefits of not communicating a change in the inflation target are minor.

Keywords

Public debt, learning, inflation target, callable perpetuity, debt maturity

URL

http://econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/71902/1/742499790.pdf

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