Posted

January 25, 2011 11:01:02 AM

Date

2010-03

Author

Jaromir Beneš, Kevin Clinton, Marianne, Johnson, Douglas Laxton, and Troy Matheson

Affiliation

IMF

Title

Structural Models in Real Time

Summary /
Abstract

This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that predictions can be up-weighted or down-weighted on a case-by-case basis. We illustrate the approach using a small quarterly structural and real-time data for the United States.

Keywords

High frequency indicators, Monetary Policy, Forecasting

URL

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2010/wp1056.pdf

See

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